The government announced that they will only license 3 blocks of 10mhz spectrum. In short, this means that only 3 carriers will be able to obtain licenses necessary for 3g services. Pakistan has 5 carriers. Assuming no international companies enter the market, who do you guys think will lose? It should be safe to assume those that don't obtain a license will eventually leave the market.
My predictions are that Warid will integrated Wateen somehow, which leaves 4 more carriers. Zong just got into a long term agreement with Man.U and China mobile definately has no intention of leaving it behind. Mobilink too probably has surplus cash floating around thanks to orascoms global merger. Ufone is backed up by PTCL and Etisilat and its position as a national carrier would force it to obtain a license. Ufone could however integrated PTCL CDMA bands more though, but it would be required to adopt special phones then. Lastly, we are left with Telenor. Though it complains of low ARPU, the company has a quality network and many corporate users use their edge sticks. It would not be logical for them to skip on the bidding.
So what do you guys think? Exciting times are ahead.